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Red50
245711.5
177613.4
199720.3
Blue54
171013.4
93116.5
177518.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4744203040506070805054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#15
20.30.3
17.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1775
#27
18.10.8
15.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1776
#42
13.40.3
14.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
931
#33
16.50.8
17.218.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2457
#55
11.50.3
14.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1710
#12
13.40.8
11.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End