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Red32
199214.1
23468.6
173714.1
Blue46
182517.6
198118.1
20086.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40391020305060703246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1992
#16
14.10.6
12.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1981
#26
18.10.5
14.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1737
#22
14.10.6
13.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1825
#18
17.60.5
12.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2346
#61
8.60.6
12.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2008
#59
6.50.5
12.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End