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Red46
110820.4
198517.7
287416.4
Blue44
177613.4
178518.8
176912.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801001204644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.0
22.020.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1785
#48
18.80.2
17.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1985
#11
17.71.0
19.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1776
#42
13.40.2
15.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2874
#23
16.41.0
16.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1769
#41
12.60.2
14.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End