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Red64
171013.4
109416.4
198118.1
Blue40
180217.8
120821.2
180513.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442030405060706440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1981
#26
18.11.6
14.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1208
#19
21.20.3
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1094
#29
16.41.6
17.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1802
#40
17.80.3
17.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1710
#12
13.41.6
12.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1805
#52
13.30.3
12.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End