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Red38
180016.0
234517.4
289414.6
Blue74
198220.4
176912.6
193928.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42411020305060703874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2345
#38
17.40.3
15.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
28.42.7
16.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1800
#25
16.00.3
13.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
20.42.7
13.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2894
#30
14.62.3
14.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1769
#41
12.62.7
12.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End