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Red64
46216.8
254016.2
303918.9
Blue60
218315.8
255614.2
287311.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060806460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#15
18.91.8
14.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2183
#21
15.82.1
10.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
462
#19Sur
16.81.8
16.118.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2556
#25
14.22.1
11.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2540
#14
16.21.8
11.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2873
#26
11.02.1
12.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End