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Red50
191213.8
299229.0
207812.9
Blue96
142124.3
297519.0
34823.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060801005096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.5
20.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1421
#11
24.33.8
18.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1912
#30
13.80.5
9.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
348
#9
23.62.3
20.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2078
#20
12.90.5
13.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
19.03.8
12.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End