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Red36
209117.1
46216.8
281517.7
Blue62
142124.3
207812.9
4918.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445620801003662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.8
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1421
#11
24.30.7
21.822.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2091
#16
17.10.8
17.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
49
#10
18.20.4
18.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
462
#19
16.80.8
17.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2078
#20
12.90.7
14.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End