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Red30
49920.3
298310.3
207812.9
Blue46
287311.0
147724.7
303918.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48530204060801003046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
499
#5
20.31.5
22.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
24.70.5
24.323.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2078
#20
12.91.5
14.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3039
#15
18.90.5
17.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2983
#31
10.31.5
11.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2873
#26
11.00.5
10.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End