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Red40
191213.8
4918.2
218315.8
Blue74
303918.9
220615.9
53819.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515130406070804074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49
#10
18.20.6
18.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
538
#17
19.21.1
19.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2183
#21
15.80.8
17.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3039
#15
18.91.5
17.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1912
#30
13.80.8
15.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2206
#18
15.91.5
14.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End