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Red58
52723.8
41719.4
32915.7
Blue42
53316.2
175111.1
56418.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493702060801005842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#4
23.80.5
20.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
564
#9
18.70.3
12.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
417
#18
19.40.9
15.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
533
#23
16.20.3
15.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
329
#22
15.70.7
12.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1751
#42
11.10.3
11.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End