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Red62
28728.8
52723.8
49617.7
Blue6
160623.8
247613.1
8716.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59330204080100120626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
28.80.6
20.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
23.82.5
13.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
527
#4
23.80.3
19.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
2476
#45
13.12.5
10.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
496
#33
17.70.6
14.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
871
#40
6.42.5
12.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End