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Red64
146816.3
234714.8
15379.2
Blue42
41719.4
286910.8
35817.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31540204060801001206442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#12
16.32.5
14.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
417
#18
19.40.7
18.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2347
#29
14.82.5
9.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
358
#11
17.90.5
18.518.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1537
#36
9.22.5
9.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2869
#38
10.80.7
13.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End