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Red40
27122.1
51413.5
180315.6
Blue44
15379.2
263817.1
56418.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801004044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#6
22.10.4
21.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
564
#9
18.70.3
13.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1803
#21
15.60.7
15.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2638
#16
17.10.3
14.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
514
#26
13.50.7
11.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1537
#36
9.20.3
12.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End