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Red16
180315.6
286910.8
20275.0
Blue64
54515.0
51413.5
41719.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34460204060801001664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1803
#21
15.61.5
14.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
417
#18
19.41.5
19.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2869
#38
10.81.6
14.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
545
#35
15.01.5
13.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2027
#39
5.01.6
7.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
514
#26
13.51.5
11.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End