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Red54
51413.5
135816.4
2824.6
Blue68
52723.8
87026.9
81011.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554304050607080905468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
#14
24.60.0
24.124.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
870
#1
26.90.9
25.226.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1358
#19
16.40.0
16.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
527
#4
23.80.6
20.220.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
514
#26
13.50.0
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
810
#28
11.40.9
9.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End