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Red40
53316.2
201024.8
27122.1
Blue108
35314.1
52723.8
32915.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6845020608010012040108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.4
25.324.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
527
#4
23.81.0
21.922.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
#6
22.10.4
22.622.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
329
#22
15.71.0
13.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
533
#23
16.20.5
16.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
353
#46
14.11.1
11.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End