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Red69
175720.7
234913.8
242311.5
Blue14
197310.2
28768.9
176117.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060801006914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
Unranked
20.72.5
17.620.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1761
Unranked
17.81.7
19.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2349
Unranked
13.82.5
11.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1973
Unranked
10.22.3
11.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2423
Unranked
11.52.5
10.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2876
Unranked
8.92.3
9.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End