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Red50
196512.2
6924.5
12621.3
Blue20
207911.9
10279.9
242311.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6537020801001201405020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
Unranked
24.51.0
25.124.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
2079
Unranked
11.91.7
14.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
126
Unranked
21.31.0
24.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
2423
Unranked
11.51.7
12.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
Unranked
12.21.0
11.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1027
Unranked
9.91.7
14.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End