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Red50
288816.8
8816.9
54914.3
Blue79
135016.4
24610.3
6924.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45500204060805079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
Unranked
16.90.3
17.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
69
Unranked
24.52.5
24.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2888
Unranked
16.80.3
14.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1350
Unranked
16.42.5
14.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
549
Unranked
14.30.3
14.615.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
246
Unranked
10.32.5
10.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End