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Red54
204312.4
25937.7
207911.9
Blue62
176117.8
109915.9
15714.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28490204060801005462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2043
Unranked
12.41.9
10.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1761
Unranked
17.80.8
17.518.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2079
Unranked
11.91.9
11.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1099
Unranked
15.91.3
14.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2593
Unranked
7.71.9
9.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
157
Unranked
14.61.3
14.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End