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Red2
177911.4
191612.4
24610.3
Blue60
52910.3
175720.7
287716.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37460206080260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1916
Unranked
12.43.0
13.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
1757
Unranked
20.71.3
20.922.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1779
Unranked
11.43.0
11.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2877
Unranked
16.11.3
14.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
246
Unranked
10.33.0
12.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
529
Unranked
10.31.3
9.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End