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Red48
244713.3
204312.4
12621.3
Blue76
177911.4
288816.8
6127.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48460204060801004876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
21.30.0
22.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
61
Unranked
27.72.3
22.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2447
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2888
Unranked
16.82.5
14.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2043
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1779
Unranked
11.42.5
8.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End