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Red50
264813.0
70118.6
288816.8
Blue6
242311.5
191612.4
226213.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350206080100120506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
Unranked
18.60.5
17.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2262
Unranked
13.02.6
12.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2888
Unranked
16.83.8
16.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1916
Unranked
12.42.6
13.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2648
Unranked
13.00.5
14.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2423
Unranked
11.52.6
11.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End