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Quarterfinal 2-12009 Chesapeake Regional
Red64
162621.3
28720.7
22921.6
Blue101
119527.6
76826.8
189323.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627120408010012064101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#32
21.60.0
21.4→21.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.0
1195
#6
27.60.8
24.7→25.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1626
#23
21.30.0
21.2→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.5
768
#15
26.80.5
25.0→25.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
287
#5
20.70.0
20.4→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
1893
#13
23.40.9
20.3→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—