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Red76
119527.6
172720.6
253424.6
Blue48
237729.6
141815.6
205315.5
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485902040801007648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.2
11.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2377
#24
29.60.6
26.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2534
#18
24.61.5
21.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
1418
#34
15.60.7
13.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
20.62.1
16.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
2053
#41
15.50.7
16.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End