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Red74
7521.1
4034.7
141815.6
Blue58
188415.2
144620.1
198013.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6443020801007458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
#3
34.70.8
29.230.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
1446
#43
20.10.8
21.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
#33Sur
21.10.8
19.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1884
#30Sur
15.21.0
13.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1418
#34
15.60.8
13.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1980
#21
13.10.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End