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Qual 302009 Chesapeake Regional
Red68
205315.5
7521.1
162621.3
Blue20
248315.5
188611.0
138911.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642020806820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#23
21.30.8
19.2→20.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
2483
#27
15.52.0
20.0→18.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
75
#33
21.10.8
19.8→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.4
1389
#45
11.72.0
13.7→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2053
#41
15.50.8
15.0→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
1886
#51
11.02.0
9.9→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—