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Red82
19026.6
141815.6
111118.5
Blue53
207918.5
68614.6
88816.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584120801008253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#16
26.61.6
24.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
2079
#14
18.50.7
14.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
#39
18.51.7
17.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
888
#17
16.30.5
16.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1418
#34
15.61.6
14.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
686
#53
14.60.8
12.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End