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Red91
28720.7
7521.1
76826.8
Blue48
33918.4
205315.5
22921.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5956203040507080901009148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
768
#15
26.81.8
22.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
229
#32
21.60.5
20.620.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
#33
21.11.8
20.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
339
#25
18.40.5
20.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
287
#5
20.72.7
15.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2053
#41
15.50.5
15.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End