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Red79
83623.3
44921.3
116815.2
Blue64
189323.4
46718.0
7521.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52612040801007964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#11
23.31.4
20.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1893
#13
23.40.4
18.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
449
#7
21.31.4
19.320.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
75
#33
21.10.2
22.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1168
#19
15.22.1
13.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
467
#22
18.00.2
19.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End