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Red64
22921.6
5315.2
16620.0
Blue50
44921.3
138911.7
201617.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352203040607080901006450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#32
21.60.6
20.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
449
#7
21.30.1
20.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
#8
20.00.6
18.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2016
#20
17.70.1
18.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
53
#31
15.20.6
13.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1389
#45
11.70.2
13.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End