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Qual 72009 Chesapeake Regional
Red34
22921.6
198013.1
164010.6
Blue32
165610.7
174814.2
2038.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340204060803432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#32
21.60.9
21.5→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.4
1748
#38
14.20.3
13.2→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1980
#21
13.10.9
10.9→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
1656
#46
10.70.3
10.5→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1640
#36
10.61.0
13.5→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
203
#52
8.80.3
12.4→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—