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Red54
218811.7
8530.5
50328.0
Blue86
21624.7
191830.8
125414.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72683040506080901001105486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
30.50.3
31.030.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
30.80.3
30.530.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#1
28.00.3
28.528.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
216
#2
24.70.3
24.424.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2188
#21
11.70.3
12.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1254
#30
14.40.3
14.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End