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Red72
150217.5
90426.1
124316.0
Blue47
264518.5
205412.3
86223.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526402040801001207247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#5
26.10.9
20.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
862
#11
23.00.8
26.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1502
#37
17.50.9
19.420.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2645
#20
18.50.8
20.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1243
#10
16.00.9
13.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2054
#32
12.30.8
15.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End