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Red40
29597.5
51810.3
224617.9
Blue34
201513.1
261115.5
125414.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33450204060801004034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
#14
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2611
#33
15.50.5
16.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
518
#34
10.30.3
10.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1254
#30
14.40.5
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2959
#26
7.50.3
7.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
2015
#29
13.10.5
13.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End