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Red48
218811.7
8530.5
50328.0
Blue26
264518.5
207518.9
90426.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7465204060801001204826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
30.50.4
31.431.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
904
#5
26.10.7
26.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#1
28.00.4
28.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
2075
#17
18.90.7
19.719.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2188
#21
11.70.4
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2645
#20
18.50.7
19.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End