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Red48
305813.6
217514.8
260616.9
Blue42
254915.2
253515.3
310014.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060801004842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2606
#19
16.90.5
14.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2535
#38
15.30.2
12.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2175
#18
14.80.5
14.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2549
#47
15.20.2
14.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3058
#36
13.60.5
13.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3100
#37
14.50.2
12.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End