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Red38
220714.6
281717.5
52520.2
Blue69
288318.5
265415.2
223915.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493902060801003869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#45
20.20.6
22.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2883
#24
18.52.4
13.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2817
#17
17.50.6
13.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2654
#35
15.22.4
13.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2207
#34
14.60.8
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2239
#44
15.12.4
13.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End