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Red56
241817.5
310218.3
252513.2
Blue34
302618.4
303810.8
305520.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365002060801001201405634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#13
18.31.5
14.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3055
#25
20.11.2
18.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2418
#39Sur
17.51.5
10.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3026
#5Sur
18.41.2
17.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2525
#42
13.21.5
12.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3038
#20
10.81.2
12.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End