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Red40
249119.0
222018.9
223915.1
Blue50
265415.2
312211.7
305813.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434220305060704050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.2
14.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2654
#35
15.20.7
16.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2220
#32
18.90.2
12.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
3058
#36
13.60.7
14.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2239
#44
15.10.2
15.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3122
#15
11.70.7
11.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End