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Red56
251013.6
252513.2
310014.5
Blue36
301814.5
311611.3
249913.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45350204060801005636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#37
14.51.0
15.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3018
#49
14.50.0
13.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2510
#22
13.61.0
14.015.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2499
#48
13.40.0
12.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2525
#42
13.21.0
14.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3116
#50
11.30.0
10.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End