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Red60
212918.4
305413.1
305612.2
Blue36
87813.3
224114.2
252513.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384802060801001201406036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#12
18.41.7
16.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2241
#14
14.20.9
16.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3054
#40
13.11.7
13.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
878
#41
13.30.9
14.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3056
#33
12.21.7
9.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2525
#42
13.20.9
15.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End