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Red75
301814.5
247222.6
302618.4
Blue55
281717.5
305813.6
216920.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52450204060801007555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#11
22.62.0
21.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2169
#28
20.50.8
17.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.42.0
16.118.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2817
#17
17.50.5
15.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3018
#49
14.52.0
13.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3058
#36
13.60.8
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End