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Red26
310014.5
312211.7
303616.7
Blue34
303810.8
240111.5
224114.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060802634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3036
#30
16.71.6
16.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2241
#14
14.20.4
15.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3100
#37
14.51.6
15.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2401
#46
11.50.4
11.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3122
#15
11.71.6
12.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3038
#20
10.80.4
11.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End