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Red80
310916.1
297031.5
212918.4
Blue44
220714.6
249913.4
247222.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634902040801001208044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.9
29.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
2472
#11
22.60.5
21.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2129
#12
18.41.6
17.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2207
#34
14.60.5
14.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3109
#21
16.11.6
14.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2499
#48
13.40.5
14.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End