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Red20
310218.3
253515.3
297714.9
Blue36
240111.5
281717.5
247222.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060801001202036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#13
18.37.3
18.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2472
#11
22.60.6
16.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2535
#38
15.31.6
13.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
2817
#17
17.50.5
13.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2977
#29
14.93.9
14.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2401
#46
11.50.6
12.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End