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Red42
254512.2
282314.6
308110.3
Blue80
248814.6
251518.9
250814.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801004280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#40
14.60.0
14.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
18.93.3
13.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2545
#49
12.20.0
14.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2508
#39
14.83.3
14.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3081
#48
10.30.0
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2488
#24
14.63.3
12.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End