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Red46
24798.3
295716.1
298715.4
Blue34
218110.9
282314.6
222714.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334102060801004634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2957
#26
16.11.0
12.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2823
#40
14.60.5
14.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2987
#36
15.41.0
12.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2227
#47
14.40.5
13.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2479
#21
8.31.0
9.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2181
#43
10.90.5
11.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End