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Red64
226422.5
24798.3
285522.4
Blue36
308110.3
282516.2
295716.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434320305060706436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.8
14.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2825
#14
16.20.6
15.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.41.8
17.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
2957
#26
16.10.6
13.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2479
#21
8.31.8
10.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3081
#48
10.30.6
14.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End